Thursday, May 22, 2008

Updates...Circuit final table...WSOP Main Event prediction

I haven't posted much as I haven't had much going on recently. My circuit ended on Friday night when the following hand came up. Again, I am in for $200.00 and have my stack up to about $260.00. There is a LAG guy 2 to my left. I am in the 1 seat. The guy is talking alot, and he has about $500.00 in front of him. I figured he was winning, but knew he would donk off some of those chips. I am on the button, and look down at Kc10h. I limp and donk in BB makes it $20.00 to go. 2 people call...I am getting 4 to 1 on my money...I smooth. Flop lands 10s9h4c. Donk fires out $35.00 and we lose 1 of the callers. I call and we see the turn 3 handed...9s. I like this card. I don't have him on a 9...not at all. Donk fires $100.00....other guy folds and I call. Flop is the Jc. He puts me all in...I call...he tables KcJs...and thats a wrap. Even though I got unlucky, I feel that I played the hand bad. I should have jammed on the flop or turn. I should have never let it get to the river. lets see....I was a 70-30 favorite on the flop and moved to 85-15 after the turn. I pinned my hoped on playing Sunday in a mega on getting staked by 2 people, but neither came through.

I was able to get down to Harrah's yesterday to sweat TK and Gabe at the final table. Wow was it entertaining. They were down to 4 handed when I got there, and Gabe and TK were both still in it. There was also a local there, Floyd Vanderford, who nursed a short stack to collect over 100k. I was very impressed with him. I was also impressed with Nick Cici's game also. He actually only got half of the winnings as one of his buddy's had 50% of him...still a nice score.

There was a time when Fish and I were talking to this guy, and we started talking chop. TK offered the guy a 50-50 chop when TK was 1.5 to 1 dog. His buddy could not understand why anyone would do that. We rationalized it to him that TK was a solid, proven poker pro. He admitted to us that Nick does not play much poker. I told him, "Hey man, I am not knocking your boys game or nothing...I like his game, but TK has already won major tournaments on the felt and online, he plays in the Sunday Millions on Stars...every Sunday...I think he was being generous myself". Well...he wound up taking it down. What do I know? ;-)

The banter at the table was priceless. I got to see the head games that go with playing in a live tournament for that much money. I am sure you'll have seen the hands on the poker pages blog. He was crippled when he held AQo and the flop comes down Q44. Nick called a pre-flop raise with 4-3...ballsy. If TK wins that last hand, he got it in with the best of it with Q-4 against J-7...again...the kid called and all in with J-7, and if TK doubles through there...that game is wide open again as he would have close to 800k.

Got to hang out with TK, Fish, Nick, DaRock and Lou Esposito after it was over, and we analysed the play. The kid made some weird plays that paid off for him in the long run...Congrats Nick!!!!!

As far as TK...He could not have been more disappointed, but I am sure he will bounce back like a champ. I think what hurt the most was losing to an amateur...Again no Offense to Nick...but compared to TK he is an amateur. If it was Phil Ivey up there he would have taken it a little better. I will have some pics up as soon as I can get them off my Camera. I got some good pics and mpegs of everyone...including tournament extraordinaire...Jason Lipscomb.

My Prediction on the Final Table of the WSOP Main Event....All the players will get agents/mediators and negotiate a straight chop across the board...then the WSOP people with conspire with all the players to play with fixed decks so the final table will be entertaining...It will be like wrestling...the powers that be will script the whole table and you will see set over sets...full houses over full houses...numerous 4 of a kinds...and the final hand will be right out of the Cinci Kid...Straight flush over 4 of a heard it here first.

No seriously....I think they will negotiate a chop like I said...they will agree to play for the bracelet and the legacy...They will be sworn to will be exposed weeks before the table and it will blow up in Harrah's face...That's my prediction.

"What I'd like to know is how you rob a bank without opening any doors" Samuel L Jackson as Roland in "Jumper"

1 comment:

Goondingy said...

Who was the guy that won in 2004? Have we heard from him as yet? Nope. This guy, the way it seemed like he played...will we hear from him down the road? Probably not. Yet I was not there and he may have very good 'reading' skills.

Soka, talk to you!